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The Bowl Championship Series System - Part Two

Just two weeks back I wrote of how the BCS System was once again destined failure. That the system works only if the top two teams in the country are unbeaten and from major conferences. That only under that one scenario does the BCS legitimately have a chance of putting the two best teams in the country in a winner take all, National Championship game.
Realistically, I stated, under any other scenario there will be legitimate questions about the poll and the selection of two teams.

And at that time in the 2005 season I noted that there was a chance that four teams from major conferences could all end the year undefeated. Because both USC and UCLA had to play against one another, only one could remain unbeaten though at the time both stood without a loss. Then there was Virginia Tech unbeaten and the dominant team in a very good ACC this year, though they still had some very tough games ahead of them. Then there was the much frustrated SEC, where both Georgia and Alabama were still undefeated, though the SEC Championship game would give one of them at least a single loss.

The SEC had to be frustrated I said, especially after unbeaten Auburn last year failed to make the title game and because either Georgia or Alabama could be on the outside looking in this year. The Big 12 and Texas continues to get the benefit of the doubt in BCS polls I wrote, even after Big 12 representative Oklahoma was demolished a year ago in the BCS title game.

I stated that the only consensus BCS championship game team would be USC, provided they did emerge undefeated. After all, the team is the two time defending champions and are rolling over opponents with one of the most powerful offenses ever seen in college football.

But the potential fiasco of the BCS could easily wind up OK now that only three teams have a chance to go through the season unbeaten. A Georgia loss to Florida derailed Georgia's unbeaten hopes while the Miami Hurricanes did the same to Virginia Tech. Throw in UCLA's surprise debacle against Arizona this weekend and now the list of unbeaten is down to just three teams.

For the BCS, options now abound to get the consensus top two teams in the game with both undefeated. Should Georgia top Alabama in the SEC title game, or if someone else tops Alabama and both USC and Texas win out, then the matchup of the two best teams is defensible. If UCLA upsets USC while Alabama and Texas roll through the rest of the schedule, then two unbeatens would again be left. Or if someone knocks off Texas, while Alabama and USC win out, then once more the title game is a given.

So all of a sudden the BCS is looking much better right? Wrong. All three current unbeatens could easily win out leaving the BCS exactly where it was a year ago, leaving out a real true contender. Yes that would be better than the four potential unbeatens that loomed two weeks ago. But also, the unthinkable could happen. Suppose UCLA upsets USC while Alabama loses the SEC title game and Texas loses the Big 12 playoff game. Oh my, then who does the BCS offer the title game to? One loss teams like Penn State, Georgia, Virginia Tech and Miami could then all make claims for consideration for the big game.

Two weeks ago I wrote that the BCS looked like a dismal failure once again. I stated that the system worked only if two unbeatens from two elite conferences managed to go through the regular season unbeaten. In fact, nothing has change about what I said except that the BCS for the moment is looking just a tiny bit better because college football is now at the point where the magic number of unbeatens just might happen.

But there are just as many scenarios that could have six or seven once beaten teams at year's end with not an unbeaten in sight. And what then of the Bowl Championship Series title game?

Stay tuned as there could easily be a BCS, part three.

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